UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Fordham
  
Fordham               
W-L: ( 0- 9) PR = 89.7487

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 1- 7 207 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 1- 5 207 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 6-10 208 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 0- 8 214 H Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 1- 6 214 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 1- 2 227 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 1- 9 515 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 0- 8 516 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 2- 5

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Georgia                 1- 7      -6    -9    +      2.69
   207 A Georgia                 1- 5      -4    -9    ++     4.69
   207 A Missouri State          6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.21
   208 H Missouri State          0- 8      -8     0    ---   -7.69
   214 H Baylor                  1- 6      -5    -4          -1.27
   214 A San Diego State         1- 2      -1    -3    +      2.24
   227 A FIU                     1- 9      -8    -4    --    -4.36
   515 A Arkansas                0- 8      -8   -11    +      2.66
   516 H Washington              2- 5      -3    -6    +      3.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Missouri State          0- 8      -8     0    ---   -7.69
   227 A FIU                     1- 9      -8    -4    --    -4.36
   207 A Missouri State          6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Georgia                 1- 5      -4    -9    ++     4.69
   206 A Georgia                 1- 7      -6    -9    +      2.69
   214 A San Diego State         1- 2      -1    -3    +      2.24
   515 A Arkansas                0- 8      -8   -11    +      2.66
   516 H Washington              2- 5      -3    -6    +      3.25

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Georgia         (44-17, 97.7)     1- 7       -2.21      17.16       0.74         2.80            -2.05
   3 A Georgia         (44-17, 97.7)     1- 5       -2.21      17.16       0.74         2.80            -2.05
   3 A Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     6-10       -9.10      10.27       0.74         2.80           -11.71
   3 H Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     0- 8       -9.10      10.27      -0.74         2.80           -13.78
   3 H Baylor          (32-26, 94.2)     1- 6       -5.67      13.70      -0.74         2.80            -8.98
   3 A San Diego Stat  (25-23, 92.3)     1- 2       -7.65      11.72       0.74         2.80            -9.67
   3 A FIU             (32-18, 92.6)     1- 9       -7.26      12.11       0.74         2.80            -9.12
   3 A Arkansas        (48-12, 99.7)     0- 8       -0.23      19.14       0.74         2.80            -0.71
   3 H Washington      (36-18, 96.7)     2- 5       -3.16      16.21      -0.74         2.80            -5.46
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -63.55

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -63.5463

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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